ray1122
0x8eeb7381fbdf0ca19e84a3dc138e8d16cb1fa4d1
- Realised P&L
- $-958.63
- Volume
- $3.29M
- Markets traded
- 8,403
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,403
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $919.39 | +$0.46 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $798.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $698.25 | −$1.05 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 21? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $649.88 | +$0.13 |
| Will Solana dip to $105 on September 21? · No | 0.995 | 0.995 | $485.26 | −$0.25 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $398.80 | −$0.80 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $314.21 | −$0.47 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $14.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $14.96 | −$0.02 |
| Will Solana dip to $95 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $4.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.98 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$251.80at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4AM ET
- +$250.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?
- +$250.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 21?
- +$219.41at 0.561Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$200.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $314.69 |
| 09-21 16:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-21 16:40 | Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $699.30 |
| 09-21 16:39 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-21 16:32 | Will Solana dip to $105 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 09-21 16:32 | Will Solana dip to $105 on September 21? | BUY | 0.996 | $119.52 |
| 09-21 16:31 | Will Solana dip to $105 on September 21? | BUY | 0.995 | $87.14 |
| 09-21 16:31 | Will Solana dip to $105 on September 21? | BUY | 0.993 | $198.60 |
| 09-21 16:31 | Will Solana dip to $105 on September 21? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.32 |
| 09-21 16:30 | Will Solana dip to $100 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-21 16:30 | Will Solana dip to $95 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 09-21 16:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $399.60 |
| 09-21 16:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $799.20 |
| 09-21 16:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $449.96 |
| 09-21 16:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $918.93 |