PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8ed51345d8b37504b2909c0b531d62382cad62c3

0x8ed51345d8b37504b2909c0b531d62382cad62c3

Realised P&L
$-13.54
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$205.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2080.222$106.49+$6.49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7930.778$49.09−$0.91
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? · Yes0.5030.440$26.23−$3.77
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? · Yes0.6100.480$23.61−$6.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:11Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?BUY0.5033308591$30.00
09-30 22:10Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?BUY0.6099999984$30.00
09-30 21:58Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?SELL0.98$49.94
09-30 21:58Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.95$49.48
09-30 21:56Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.9599999877$50.00
09-30 21:54Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.04$40.00
09-30 21:47Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.05$50.00
09-30 21:43Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.9809999998$50.00
09-30 21:40Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.7929999984$50.00
09-30 21:39Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2079999995$50.00
09-30 21:38Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2079999995$50.00