0x8ebaFB89BB17C1B7a2663358c4A9Cc2f2CA67A23-1760641386933
0x8ebafb89bb17c1b7a2663358c4a9cc2f2ca67a23
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $42.5k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $89.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$314.85at 0.688US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$69.67at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$61.00at 0.431Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
- +$50.11at 0.206UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$46.32at 0.571Utah vs. Golden Knights
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 19:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679999914 | $14.14 |
| 06-13 19:32 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0839999983 | $43.25 |
| 06-06 23:27 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.3599999719 | $4.10 |
| 06-06 23:25 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.3132058425 | $13.00 |
| 06-06 23:23 | UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $13.00 |
| 06-06 23:20 | UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.209999994 | $22.00 |
| 05-21 01:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 01:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 01:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 01:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 01:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1142857143 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 22:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 22:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 22:28 | Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |