wdwadcd
0x8eb80b0f3474a654ed421f167b76ebd6518dad24
- Realised P&L
- $-16.99
- Volume
- $19.7k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $17.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.07at 0.748Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21?
- +$5.03at 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 2?
- +$3.51at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14?
- +$3.51at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?
- +$3.51at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 07:21 | Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9719995529 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:20 | Concrete FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9229999585 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:20 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:18 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:17 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:17 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:17 | Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:16 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8789999051 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:16 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 07:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 03:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |