PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

williamsrichard

0x8e984644579a01f32843aeacb4534b7b14c60a2e

Realised P&L
$-3.20
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$56.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $130 in October? · No0.9100.945$18.16+$0.67
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · Yes0.7100.700$17.11−$0.24
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.7300.720$10.86−$0.15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6300.195$10.85−$24.19
Australia vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under0.5900.000$0.00−$15.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 07:29Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 15?BUY0.8299999941$16.80
01-31 13:35Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?BUY0.9969997995$4.66
01-31 13:30Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?BUY0.998999995$11.93
01-30 15:31Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January?BUY0.999$11.30
01-30 14:43Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$10.39
01-30 13:15Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.999$38.54
12-30 11:43Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.998$12.96
12-30 01:12Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.999$5.32
12-30 01:01Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.998$5.77
12-29 23:28Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?BUY0.998$26.15
12-29 21:05Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.9959999983$28.01
10-30 18:46Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$22.31
10-30 18:37Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?BUY0.999$16.62
09-29 09:36Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?BUY0.999$16.17
09-29 00:52Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October?BUY0.999$18.17