PolyBot

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Traders

0x8e836afea821b7e8d74022678d7a2cadb3b5f4a3

0x8e836afea821b7e8d74022678d7a2cadb3b5f4a3

Realised P&L
$-26.17
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$86.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.565$11.30+$0.30
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.5400.535$10.70−$0.10
Will Corbin Carroll win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? · No0.5300.425$8.50−$2.10
Will Joe Mack win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? · No0.6100.415$8.30−$3.90
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31? · No0.4600.315$6.30−$2.90
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.3400.310$6.20−$0.60
Will Harold Fannin Jr. finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.3600.275$5.50−$1.70
Will Christian Watson have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5100.230$4.60−$5.60
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? · Yes0.3400.230$4.60−$2.20
Will Gabriel Moreno win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award? · Yes0.2400.160$3.20−$1.60
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? · Yes0.2500.145$2.90−$2.10
Will Algeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group I? · No0.5500.145$2.90−$8.10
Will Christian Walker win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? · Yes0.5300.315$2.09−$1.43
Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? · Yes0.1600.075$1.50−$1.70
Will Kyren Williams be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.0500.075$1.50+$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:35Will Christian Walker win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?SELL0.4$8.00
10-01 04:26Will Alex Bregman win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?SELL0.31$6.20
10-01 04:24Will Joe Mack win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?SELL0.47$9.40
10-01 03:28Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?SELL0.17$3.40
10-01 02:48Will Carnell Tate finish as a top-12 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.06$1.20
10-01 01:54Will Jordyn Tyson finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.02$0.40
10-01 01:00Will Dalton Kincaid finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.66$13.20
10-01 00:11Will Derrick Henry have 10+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.13$2.60
09-30 21:34Will "Digger" score at least 52 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.21$4.20
09-30 20:11Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by October 31?SELL0.78$13.26
09-30 18:39Will Brian Thomas Jr. finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.23$4.60