PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

alexsky

0x8e78878271452acb5a5be368d117baf181e7ea77

Realised P&L
$38.7k
Volume
$4.35M
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes0.9410.804$2.0k$335.38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8620.895$1.6k+$59.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3280.543$543.00+$215.00
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30? · No0.8480.959$514.66+$59.72
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · No0.8200.935$280.50+$34.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7400.840$167.98+$19.96
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8550.835$167.00$4.00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8600.925$92.50+$6.50
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1980.334$34.06+$13.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 07:03Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1959134945$44.57
09-08 07:02Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.205$14.82
08-28 06:56Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.9$108.00
08-28 06:56Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.9$90.90
08-28 06:56Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.899$269.70
08-12 11:54Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.996$0.10
08-10 13:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.84$84.00
08-10 13:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.88$88.00
08-10 12:47Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?BUY0.85$85.00
08-05 18:16Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?BUY0.8450782637$200.00
08-05 14:14Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?BUY0.8497135$169.94
07-22 13:46Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.74$113.22
07-22 13:45Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.739$34.81
07-13 09:44Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?BUY0.7976273675$374.81
07-13 08:41Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.462$46.20