alexsky
0x8e78878271452acb5a5be368d117baf181e7ea77
- Realised P&L
- $38.6k
- Volume
- $4.35M
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.8kat 0.313Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$12.6kat 0.307Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$5.2kat 0.310Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$3.5kat 0.970Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$2.6kat 0.277Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 13:46 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $113.22 |
| 07-22 13:45 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.739 | $34.81 |
| 07-13 09:44 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31? | BUY | 0.7976273675 | $374.81 |
| 07-13 08:41 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.462 | $46.20 |
| 07-13 08:38 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.462 | $46.20 |
| 07-01 19:32 | Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | BUY | 0.9693142857 | $678.52 |
| 07-01 18:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 06-28 09:10 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BUY | 0.8892425 | $88.92 |
| 06-25 19:04 | Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.998 | $187.95 |
| 06-23 20:47 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BUY | 0.68 | $135.99 |
| 06-23 20:44 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BUY | 0.6692319055 | $144.98 |
| 06-23 14:41 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SELL | 0.39 | $89.93 |
| 06-23 11:47 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.9736896552 | $141.19 |
| 06-23 11:42 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BUY | 0.396 | $126.32 |
| 06-23 07:36 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.997 | $310.41 |