PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fedor08

0x8e4bce4b02b1487df42fd30129ba2a2525c3cac2

Realised P&L
$-276.35
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
212
Open portfolio
$187.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded212
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · No0.7500.775$31.00+$1.00
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.6700.785$23.55+$3.45
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.8100.855$21.38+$1.13
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · No0.6251.000$20.00+$7.50
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.7500.997$19.94+$4.94
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.8100.990$19.79+$3.59
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? · No0.9100.885$17.70$0.50
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · No0.6601.000$15.14+$5.14
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027? · No0.8900.545$8.18$5.17
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0600.024$5.48$8.52
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.115$2.30+$0.10
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0490.036$1.82$0.62
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · No0.0690.013$0.39$1.68
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · Yes0.2500.018$0.37$4.63
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? · No0.8100.000$0.00$8.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:27Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$2.20
09-17 17:26Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?SELL0.969$11.98
09-16 20:53Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.049$2.45
09-13 13:39Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.1087052632$2.07
08-24 15:02Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.89$13.35
08-23 15:06Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?SELL0.57$5.70
08-23 12:37Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?BUY0.76$7.60
08-23 11:33Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?BUY0.66$3.30
08-22 15:38US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.07$7.00
08-20 20:18NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6602941452$10.00
08-08 22:30UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.01$0.11
08-06 02:14Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.22$3.78
08-04 15:59Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026?BUY0.5$5.00
08-04 15:55Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026?BUY0.67$13.40
07-26 21:18Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0599999972$20.00