Fedor08
0x8e4bce4b02b1487df42fd30129ba2a2525c3cac2
- Realised P&L
- $-276.35
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $187.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.12at 0.080Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
- +$47.86at 0.207Will South Korean President lift martial law today?
- +$41.80at 0.164Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?
- +$40.50at 0.550Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
- +$37.33at 0.440Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:27 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-17 17:26 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $11.98 |
| 09-16 20:53 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.049 | $2.45 |
| 09-13 13:39 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1087052632 | $2.07 |
| 08-24 15:02 | Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 08-23 15:06 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 08-23 12:37 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 08-23 11:33 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-22 15:38 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 08-20 20:18 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6602941452 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 22:30 | UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.01 | $0.11 |
| 08-06 02:14 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.78 |
| 08-04 15:59 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:55 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 07-26 21:18 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |