slyman
0x8e47c49cbf7fc9a813453924fb5d32352df41268
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $65.7k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $451.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.50at 0.397Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
- +$120.00at 0.400US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$89.37at 0.418Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$69.29at 0.347Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?
- +$66.28at 0.430Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 22:34 | Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? | BUY | 0.225 | $45.00 |
| 02-28 22:32 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 22:31 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BUY | 0.0495893262 | $12.46 |
| 02-28 22:31 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | SELL | 0.0426587594 | $40.53 |
| 02-28 22:30 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.480030722 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 22:30 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.1746575686 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 22:24 | Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? | BUY | 0.1965415874 | $34.10 |
| 02-28 22:20 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 22:19 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.2411455965 | $48.79 |
| 02-28 22:15 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.018 | $24.54 |
| 02-28 22:13 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.2585623894 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 22:10 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.3192794642 | $29.56 |
| 02-28 22:08 | US strike on Cuba by March 31? | SELL | 0.0607085128 | $43.69 |
| 02-28 22:02 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 22:02 | Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | BUY | 0.1778585548 | $5.00 |