PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

slyman

0x8e47c49cbf7fc9a813453924fb5d32352df41268

Realised P&L
$-6.4k
Volume
$65.7k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$451.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3100.255$149.83$32.62
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.2590.255$98.35$1.65
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.4850.380$39.18$10.82
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.3260.110$29.06$56.94
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · Yes0.2800.105$23.65$39.35
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · Yes0.2830.120$21.65$29.35
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1870.055$9.71$23.29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0760.135$8.78+$3.78
Ramp IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2420.085$8.77$16.23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.040$7.18$12.82
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.009$6.81$2.63
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.1350.013$5.48$49.52
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1730.038$5.22$18.59
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.2410.021$4.58$49.22
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2880.055$4.01$16.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 22:34Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?BUY0.225$45.00
02-28 22:32Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.4899999916$25.00
02-28 22:31Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?BUY0.0495893262$12.46
02-28 22:31Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?SELL0.0426587594$40.53
02-28 22:30Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.480030722$25.00
02-28 22:30Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.1746575686$25.00
02-28 22:24Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?BUY0.1965415874$34.10
02-28 22:20US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.2599999966$50.00
02-28 22:19Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.2411455965$48.79
02-28 22:15Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.018$24.54
02-28 22:13US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.2585623894$50.00
02-28 22:10US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3192794642$29.56
02-28 22:08US strike on Cuba by March 31?SELL0.0607085128$43.69
02-28 22:02Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
02-28 22:02Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?BUY0.1778585548$5.00
Trader slyman · PolyBot