PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

slyman

0x8e47c49cbf7fc9a813453924fb5d32352df41268

Realised P&L
$-6.6k
Volume
$65.7k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$266.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3100.145$85.20$97.25
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.2590.145$55.92$44.08
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.3260.075$19.81$66.19
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · Yes0.2800.075$16.89$46.11
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.4850.145$14.95$35.05
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · Yes0.2830.065$11.73$39.27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.038$7.00$13.00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1870.040$6.97$26.03
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0760.100$6.50+$1.50
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0300.035$5.92+$0.92
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.2410.025$5.58$48.21
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0150.015$5.17+$0.17
Ramp IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2420.038$3.97$21.03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1730.029$3.92$19.89
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · Yes0.4101.000$2.44+$1.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 22:34Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?BUY0.225$45.00
02-28 22:32Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.4899999916$25.00
02-28 22:31Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?BUY0.0495893262$12.46
02-28 22:31Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?SELL0.0426587594$40.53
02-28 22:30Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.480030722$25.00
02-28 22:30Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.1746575686$25.00
02-28 22:24Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?BUY0.1965415874$34.10
02-28 22:20US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.2599999966$50.00
02-28 22:19Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.2411455965$48.79
02-28 22:15Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.018$24.54
02-28 22:13US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.2585623894$50.00
02-28 22:10US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.3192794642$29.56
02-28 22:08US strike on Cuba by March 31?SELL0.0607085128$43.69
02-28 22:02Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
02-28 22:02Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?BUY0.1778585548$5.00