PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xEFfd26673Bcc8c1268490E76296fc9fB9e600265-1778640299150

0x8e40e6a63ddba995a9d29603655833e6a5c2c7c0

Realised P&L
$28.76
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$56.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.2400.255$25.50+$1.50
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0290.032$11.21+$1.02
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.036$3.25−$26.50
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1000.115$2.98+$0.38
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3200.295$2.77−$0.23
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0910.085$2.20−$0.15
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.2900.295$2.03+$0.03
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0910.075$1.94−$0.41
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0910.060$1.56−$0.79
Michigan Senate favorite on November 2? · Rogers0.0100.011$1.15+$0.15
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0910.038$1.00−$1.36
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2? · Yes0.0160.011$0.70−$0.30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0910.007$0.19−$2.16
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0910.004$0.09−$2.26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0910.003$0.06−$2.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 21:11Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?BUY0.01$1.00
10-31 20:17Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?BUY0.0157932385$1.00
10-31 03:34Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.32$3.00
10-31 03:32Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2899999884$2.00
10-31 03:30Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.11$1.43
10-31 03:27Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.0374384234$2.00
10-31 03:26Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.24$24.00
10-25 01:05Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.0609999986$1.00
10-24 20:29Will Conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.0668936055$1.00
10-24 19:54Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.92$9.20
10-24 19:52Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.92$9.20
10-24 19:46Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?BUY0.92$9.20
10-23 22:59Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.044$1.32
10-23 22:58Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.044$2.42
10-23 22:54Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.8299999992$10.80