0x8E2D02FedFe1d7Afc02AFdDc738be7076EF91fbA-1767787915237
0x8e2d02fedfe1d7afc02afddc738be7076ef91fba
- Realised P&L
- $-11.47
- Volume
- $693.25
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $7.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.480Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?
- +$7.49at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11AM ET
- +$7.10at 0.290Will MrBeast hit 117 billion views by March 31?
- +$5.45at 0.452Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$5.20at 0.400Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-09 15:45 | Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 03-09 15:22 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | SELL | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 03-01 00:06 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.04 |
| 02-28 16:46 | Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.85 |
| 02-28 16:44 | Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 02-15 18:13 | Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 02-08 15:34 | Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 02-08 15:32 | Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 02-05 18:53 | Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 02-04 19:33 | Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 02-04 19:26 | Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 02-04 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $3.50 |
| 02-04 05:25 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.972 | $7.96 |
| 01-29 13:54 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 01-28 13:47 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |