PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LLDLIMITED

0x8e1f07007bd32d4df232e384df16f5ce8e981cbb

Realised P&L
$3.2k
Volume
$219.2k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$18.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8970.955$8.7k+$527.85
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9190.991$3.1k+$224.99
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · No0.8520.915$2.4k+$165.13
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.8610.967$1.9k+$204.36
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Pacquiao0.4160.495$1.4k+$217.02
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7680.823$814.62+$54.62
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6200.425$204.84$93.98
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0760.132$170.42+$71.91
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3560.000$0.00$1.8k
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$60.00
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) · Ilia Topuria0.8100.000$0.00$250.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 12:36Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.93999999$49.00
09-06 12:35Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.9341129062$300.00
09-06 12:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2341666044$282.00
08-23 11:53Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$2.5k
08-22 21:03UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.34$40.80
08-22 20:58Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9$18.00
08-22 20:52Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$519.13
07-28 14:17Nothing Ever Happens: JulySELL0.7238033257$401.33
07-21 15:35Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BUY0.4336734694$212.50
07-15 00:32Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.467$420.30
07-14 12:23Nothing Ever Happens: JulySELL0.6281157852$464.37
07-14 12:23Nothing Ever Happens: JulySELL0.6356042284$313.26
07-14 01:06UFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)SELL0.5$1.4k
07-13 10:44UFC Fight Night: Khalil Rountree Jr. vs. Magomed Ankalaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.7786956208$610.00
07-12 13:11Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7678195398$760.00