CrackSparrow
0x8dea64aac75d4b63c19638f87f04f4d84f621ab4
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $632.6k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $624.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.29at 0.140US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$299.83at 0.433Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$102.33at 0.329Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.13at 0.933No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.93at 0.860Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 11:28 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $90.00 |
| 03-12 14:08 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.091 | $45.50 |
| 03-12 14:08 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 03-12 14:07 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.091 | $4.55 |
| 03-12 14:07 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $8.36 |
| 03-12 14:04 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.5797107239 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 14:02 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 03-12 14:02 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1080090043 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 22:06 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.972 | $540.83 |
| 01-15 00:29 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 01-14 23:53 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $89.60 |
| 01-14 23:47 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.135 | $67.50 |
| 01-14 23:43 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 01-14 23:40 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $24.50 |
| 01-14 23:38 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |