PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CrackSparrow

0x8dea64aac75d4b63c19638f87f04f4d84f621ab4

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$632.6k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$624.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.5801.000$172.50+$72.50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.7631.000$145.30+$34.40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.4301.000$118.60+$67.60
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1090.085$93.50$26.50
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0910.069$37.67$12.38
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1080.029$27.31$72.69
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.040$25.28$64.32
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1900.018$4.61$45.39
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$4.50
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$90.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? · Yes0.2890.000$0.00$400.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.6430.000$0.00$180.20
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$21.00
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$232.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-17 11:28Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.18$90.00
03-12 14:08Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.091$45.50
03-12 14:08Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.11$110.00
03-12 14:07Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.091$4.55
03-12 14:07Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1$8.36
03-12 14:04US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.5797107239$100.00
03-12 14:02Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1899999975$50.00
03-12 14:02Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1080090043$100.00
02-28 22:06Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.972$540.83
01-15 00:29US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.09$4.50
01-14 23:53Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.14$89.60
01-14 23:47US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?SELL0.135$67.50
01-14 23:43US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.17$85.00
01-14 23:40US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.7$24.50
01-14 23:38US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.65$65.00