OLOTH
0x8de674db0dfe57e85594a32c06b94703d2842938
- Realised P&L
- $-11.6k
- Volume
- $3.08M
- Markets traded
- 1,093
- Open portfolio
- $21.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,093
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.750Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$2.2kat 0.847Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
- +$2.0kat 0.883North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans
- +$1.7kat 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?
- +$857.21at 0.988Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:20 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe? | BUY | 0.979 | $97.90 |
| 09-15 17:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.9k |
| 09-05 11:52 | Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.983 | $18.49 |
| 09-04 15:19 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.4k |
| 09-02 05:55 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 09-02 05:55 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.6k |
| 09-01 20:50 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.981 | $19.62 |
| 09-01 20:43 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $563.66 |
| 09-01 19:12 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.995 | $28.65 |
| 09-01 19:12 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9945571429 | $34.81 |
| 09-01 19:02 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.995 | $33.13 |
| 08-30 20:38 | Macron out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.958 | $19.16 |
| 08-30 20:38 | Macron out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9467052186 | $26.85 |
| 08-30 20:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-30 20:17 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston | BUY | 0.991 | $43.76 |