PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OLOTH

0x8de674db0dfe57e85594a32c06b94703d2842938

Realised P&L
$-11.6k
Volume
$3.08M
Markets traded
1,093
Open portfolio
$21.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,093
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:20Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?BUY0.979$97.90
09-15 17:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.991$9.9k
09-05 11:52Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?BUY0.983$18.49
09-04 15:19Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.998$2.4k
09-02 05:55Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.998$2.5k
09-02 05:55Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.998$2.6k
09-01 20:50Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.981$19.62
09-01 20:43NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.88$563.66
09-01 19:12Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.995$28.65
09-01 19:12Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.9945571429$34.81
09-01 19:02Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.995$33.13
08-30 20:38Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.958$19.16
08-30 20:38Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9467052186$26.85
08-30 20:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.999$99.90
08-30 20:17US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo GastonBUY0.991$43.76