PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OLOTH

0x8de674db0dfe57e85594a32c06b94703d2842938

Realised P&L
$-20.5k
Volume
$3.20M
Markets traded
1,205
Open portfolio
$42.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,205
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:45Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.997$2.3k
11-01 19:45Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.997$4.4k
11-01 19:02Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.9959620918$1.6k
11-01 18:20Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.9917801093$713.22
10-31 20:36Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.999$1.5k
10-31 20:36Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.999$10.4k
10-31 14:09Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?BUY0.998$213.57
10-30 06:46Notre Dame vs. NavyBUY0.974$664.20
10-30 06:39Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?BUY0.998$987.97
10-30 06:38Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.999$149.85
10-29 21:50Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?BUY0.996$4.98
10-29 06:22Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?BUY0.996$1.1k
10-28 17:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$498.50
10-28 17:08Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.973$97.30
10-28 17:04Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.993$555.09