MaximusKappa
0x8dc8ee11a91dd7fa607c1046584c3f572614bb54
- Realised P&L
- $-146.31
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $139.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.11at 0.629Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
- +$17.03at 0.370Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$16.74at 0.230Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$7.17at 0.218Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.70at 0.230US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 22:12 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 22:12 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 22:12 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 22:09 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 22:09 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.543999839 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 19:11 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:21 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:21 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:21 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:20 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:20 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:20 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 00:20 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:19 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 01:57 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |