PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MaximusKappa

0x8dc8ee11a91dd7fa607c1046584c3f572614bb54

Realised P&L
$-146.31
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$139.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1870.070$93.06$156.94
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5100.595$23.31+$3.33
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5300.595$22.45+$2.45
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.065$0.22$0.78
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2100.005$0.03$0.97
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5260.000$0.00$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Kash Patel out by June 30? · Yes0.5920.000$0.00$20.00
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$2.00
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.3840.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 22:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-24 22:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
06-24 22:12Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
06-24 22:09Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.55$1.00
06-24 22:09Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.543999839$1.00
06-24 19:11Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
06-23 00:21Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.66$1.00
06-23 00:21Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
06-23 00:21Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.849999915$1.00
06-23 00:20Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
06-23 00:20Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
06-23 00:20Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
06-23 00:20Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.65$1.00
06-23 00:19Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
06-18 01:57Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7199995392$1.00
Trader 0x8dc8…bb54 · PolyBot Pro