PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

agjhd

0x8db91708ce7e6a47ef398a2fac33732b005b0b44

Realised P&L
$-0.15
Volume
$303.32
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$54.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9750.970$45.74−$0.26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9120.979$4.83+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22? · Yes0.5500.555$2.22+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 22? · Yes0.5100.490$2.11−$0.09
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State Rams · UNLV Runnin' Rebels0.6800.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$3.00
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.10
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Georgia Southern vs. Marshall · Marshall0.7800.000$0.00−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 22?BUY0.55$2.20
10-20 10:01Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 22?BUY0.5099999397$2.20
10-20 10:00China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.974999983$46.00
07-19 10:55Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.51$10.32
07-19 10:54Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.55$4.38
07-08 02:03Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9849999998$28.00
07-08 02:02Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8099999951$16.40
07-08 02:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8099998121$2.50
07-08 02:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?BUY0.4599999211$2.10
06-10 07:15Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?BUY0.4199998778$1.10
06-10 07:14Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.96$10.00
06-10 07:08Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6999999696$2.30
06-10 07:07Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9929999286$12.00
06-10 07:07China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.88$4.40
05-09 14:55Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.96$5.00