trhfyth
0x8db830c86405063809e8c51a6ffdb14ed16fa9ba
- Realised P&L
- $25.74
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $671.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.964 | $356.68 | +$34.78 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.770 | $254.10 | −$3.30 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.708 | 0.154 | $60.26 | −$215.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.34at 0.451Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$-18.60at 0.165Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 01:59 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.159 | $492.90 |
| 06-26 07:20 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.488 | $575.35 |
| 06-26 07:12 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.485 | $10.19 |
| 06-04 08:42 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.451 | $541.20 |
| 06-02 03:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.708 | $276.12 |