kepikone
0x8da6099e1d7297cbe24a31907330e9c4eefc107a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $72.2k
- Markets traded
- 452
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded452
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.95at 0.594Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
- +$156.76at 0.566Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
- +$152.65at 0.351Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$145.97at 0.361Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$123.63at 0.410Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:32 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.531999999 | $147.00 |
| 09-22 17:30 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.4513876967 | $78.88 |
| 09-22 17:30 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.4244130846 | $71.88 |
| 09-21 21:18 | Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999977 | $58.68 |
| 09-21 21:17 | Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.6367054142 | $60.80 |
| 09-21 18:27 | Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.6499999971 | $56.69 |
| 09-21 18:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $59.30 |
| 09-12 17:14 | Will Lazio qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.06 | $5.95 |
| 09-12 13:47 | Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.99 |
| 09-12 13:42 | Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-12 13:42 | Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.2471218739 | $51.48 |
| 09-11 15:09 | Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.43 |
| 09-11 15:07 | Will Monaco qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.47 | $18.80 |
| 09-11 15:07 | Will Liverpool qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.2599794175 | $41.68 |
| 09-10 19:24 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-3.5) | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $3.00 |