0x0dc00527983866f490715Df4E9c9f67573CF1925-1771170580266
0x8da48799d516bde2cb6224e63a74161a351a0cda
- Realised P&L
- $-45.56
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $9.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.66at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$8.91at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$4.53at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$4.33at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$4.00at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 04:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 04:02 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.36 |
| 10-12 04:02 | Will Trump say "Executive Order" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.91 |
| 10-12 04:02 | Will Trump say "Coal" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.58 | $6.73 |
| 10-12 04:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $6.56 |
| 10-12 03:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 03:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.14 |
| 10-10 19:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 19:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 19:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6151281448 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 19:26 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0975609756 | $4.00 |
| 10-10 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0905715062 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 19:23 | Will Trump say "Executive Order" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |