PolyBot

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Traders

muaddib10

0x8d90d89a92a80d9f50774f27a1e37b61b9aede8a

Realised P&L
$-5.59
Volume
$161.33
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$39.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2850.568$3.98+$1.98
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · No0.7800.935$2.40+$0.40
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8300.985$2.37+$0.37
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.8300.925$2.23+$0.23
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.5000.825$1.65+$0.65
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.7600.610$1.61$0.39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · No0.6300.880$1.40+$0.40
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5700.795$1.39+$0.39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7000.895$1.28+$0.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · No0.7900.955$1.21+$0.21
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · No0.8570.999$1.17+$0.17
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · Yes0.7900.910$1.15+$0.15
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.7600.830$1.09+$0.09
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.8600.927$1.08+$0.08
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9200.971$1.05+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 04:04Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?BUY0.7899995339$1.00
09-01 04:03Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.9739990435$1.00
08-27 03:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?BUY0.63$1.00
08-08 02:16Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.453$1.03
08-05 23:09Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.3769998922$1.00
08-05 23:09Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.11$0.38
08-05 01:30Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?BUY0.5$1.00
08-05 01:22Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-19 21:50Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.065$0.68
07-19 21:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0949999211$1.00
07-19 21:44Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9175$1.52
07-19 14:16Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.91$2.17
07-18 22:48France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.071$0.11
07-18 00:26Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
07-18 00:26France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6699999196$1.00