muaddib10
0x8d90d89a92a80d9f50774f27a1e37b61b9aede8a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.76
- Volume
- $143.64
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $34.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.89at 0.346Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.17at 0.420Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.53at 0.600Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$0.45at 0.690Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.43at 0.700Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.065 | $0.68 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9175 | $1.52 |
| 07-19 14:16 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.17 |
| 07-18 22:48 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.071 | $0.11 |
| 07-18 00:26 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 00:26 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 00:26 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 00:25 | Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3455806071 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 00:21 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9049993167 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 15:52 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 20:08 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 20:02 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 00:41 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 00:38 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |