muaddib10
0x8d90d89a92a80d9f50774f27a1e37b61b9aede8a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.59
- Volume
- $161.33
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $39.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.86at 0.357Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.13at 0.432Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.50at 0.612Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$0.45at 0.690Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.706Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 04:04 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 04:03 | Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.9739990435 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 03:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 02:16 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.453 | $1.03 |
| 08-05 23:09 | Will Flávio Roscoe win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3769998922 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 23:09 | Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.38 |
| 08-05 01:30 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 01:22 | Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.065 | $0.68 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9175 | $1.52 |
| 07-19 14:16 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.17 |
| 07-18 22:48 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.071 | $0.11 |
| 07-18 00:26 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 00:26 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |