PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8d877107916fc44a3a384bfb8deb9cd1157e96a7

0x8d877107916fc44a3a384bfb8deb9cd1157e96a7

Realised P&L
$13.76
Volume
$437.06
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$10.71

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · Yes0.3400.475$1.40+$0.40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.7500.925$1.23+$0.23
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.855$1.16+$0.16
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No0.7980.911$1.14+$0.14
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · Yes0.4200.435$1.04+$0.04
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No0.6600.665$1.01+$0.01
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%? · Yes0.2800.275$0.98−$0.02
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · No0.6900.640$0.93−$0.07
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · Yes0.3300.275$0.83−$0.17
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.360$0.80−$0.20
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.050$0.19−$1.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 06:19Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-11 22:18Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-11 14:18Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-11 06:12Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
10-10 21:54Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-10 13:52Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-10 05:28Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7979998931$1.00
10-09 19:52Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-09 11:50Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 03:49S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 19:47Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-08 11:45Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-08 03:45Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7739998731$1.00
10-07 19:26Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-07 11:25SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.74$1.00