PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SlavaRUKNY

0x8d6483e1f006f9b9ec06413d4a4afc6143685deb

Realised P&L
$23.58
Volume
$819.91
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$187.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6500.555$29.88−$5.12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · No0.9300.915$19.68−$0.32
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.885$19.67−$0.33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7300.925$19.01+$4.01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.6100.999$16.38+$6.38
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9500.945$14.92−$0.08
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9400.983$13.59+$0.59
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.935$10.39+$0.39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · No0.9100.925$10.16+$0.16
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9640.966$10.02+$0.02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.7000.715$5.11+$0.11
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.9520.972$5.11+$0.10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9400.955$5.08+$0.08
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.9000.905$5.03+$0.03
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.085$2.80−$5.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 14:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12?BUY0.9589999992$10.00
10-05 17:08Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999923$5.00
10-05 17:05Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.95$15.00
10-05 16:52Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$10.00
10-05 16:51Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9729999996$15.00
10-05 16:50Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.9629999992$5.00
10-05 16:45New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9399999986$13.00
10-05 16:43Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.9639999985$10.00
10-05 16:41Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?BUY0.9299999284$10.00
10-05 16:33Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?BUY0.699999916$5.00
10-05 16:31Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9399999887$5.00
10-05 16:29Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6499999981$35.00
10-04 18:26Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999868$2.90
10-04 18:21Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9099999991$10.00
10-04 18:20Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?BUY0.7799999979$15.00