PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8d42580f42f41f7a7e928a91d297ddac9828fb29

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$74.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes0.0500.025$10.20−$9.80
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? · Yes0.5300.520$9.81−$0.19
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.1900.185$9.74−$0.26
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4000.305$7.63−$2.38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.1200.115$4.79−$0.21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? · Yes0.1200.110$4.58−$0.42
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.090$4.50−$0.50
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0280.024$4.27−$0.73
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.0160.011$3.59−$1.41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0290.029$2.95−$0.05
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m? · Yes0.1110.103$2.79−$0.21
Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO? · Yes0.0710.038$2.68−$2.32
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Belarus by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0070.004$2.50−$2.50
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? · Yes0.4900.235$2.40−$2.60
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · Yes0.0590.044$2.27−$0.73

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.119999999$5.00
11-01 22:26Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?BUY0.1108255956$3.00
11-01 22:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.029$3.00
11-01 22:25Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?BUY0.5299999868$10.00
11-01 22:24Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
11-01 22:23Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?BUY0.119999999$5.00
11-01 22:23Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.016$5.00
11-01 22:23Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.05$20.00
11-01 22:22Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?BUY0.4899999824$5.00
11-01 22:01Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?BUY0.0708466803$5.00
11-01 19:47Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by December 31, 2027?BUY0.4$10.00
11-01 19:47Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.0587680616$3.00
11-01 19:46Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?BUY0.028106549$5.00
11-01 19:46Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Belarus by December 31, 2027?BUY0.007$5.00
11-01 19:46Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$5.00