PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8D307dcCf44788f3A6BA01d47b6C59687ab36b31-1760438572159

0x8d307dccf44788f3a6ba01d47b6c59687ab36b31

Realised P&L
$-53.19
Volume
$9.3k
Markets traded
310
Open portfolio
$19.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded310
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3000.204$8.72−$4.07
Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? · No0.7700.670$8.70−$1.30
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3200.135$2.11−$2.89
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0190.005$0.38−$0.92
Bruins vs. Islanders · Islanders0.6300.000$0.00−$1.03
Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth end in a draw? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$3.75
Spread: Ravens (-7.5) · Ravens0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-12-06? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$2.16
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-06? · No0.3250.000$0.00−$2.92
Spread: Celtics (-6.5) · Lakers0.4300.000$0.00−$1.94
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) · Natus Vincere0.2600.000$0.00−$2.34
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 1 above $450? · No0.0490.000$0.00−$0.24
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5 · Over0.1000.000$0.00−$0.81
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.15
Warriors vs. Cavaliers · Cavaliers0.0900.000$0.00−$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 08:34Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?BUY0.0187158077$1.30
09-29 08:33Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
09-29 08:31Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?BUY0.026244593$3.00
09-29 08:31Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.32$5.00
09-29 08:22Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.76$19.27
09-23 17:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7099999909$18.00
09-18 11:21Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7699999935$14.20
12-12 12:12Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.41$3.37
12-12 10:58Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-12?SELL0.999$55.27
12-12 09:42Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-12?BUY0.46$25.45
12-07 12:46Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?SELL0.28$2.80
12-07 12:45Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?BUY0.33$1.65
12-07 12:45Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?BUY0.47$2.35
12-07 12:26Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL0.394$1.97
12-07 12:16Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?SELL0.44$1.98