fastviking
0x8d0c615f5ed3c835016b96207b3f051eec7d5839
- Realised P&L
- $-440.4k
- Volume
- $2.90M
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $125.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.9kat 0.830Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$24.4kat 0.556US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$12.4kat 0.881Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$11.5kat 0.924Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$8.0kat 0.787US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 16:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $9.6k |
| 04-07 21:03 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $904.80 |
| 04-07 21:02 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $957.60 |
| 04-07 08:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.0k |
| 04-04 21:22 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.0k |
| 04-04 15:34 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 04-04 08:51 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.8k |
| 04-04 08:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.4k |
| 04-03 09:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.6k |
| 04-02 18:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.6k |
| 04-01 17:04 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $250.31 |
| 04-01 08:59 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $43.51 |
| 03-30 07:18 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.1k |
| 03-30 07:17 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.6k |
| 03-30 07:17 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.8k |