Laf77
0x8cfd5069c61048aded54cba9b7102c57d57395c4
- Realised P&L
- $-21.3k
- Volume
- $1.17M
- Markets traded
- 262
- Open portfolio
- $824.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded262
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.565 | $696.12 | +$396.12 |
| Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.200 | $76.92 | −$23.08 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.215 | $46.74 | −$3.26 |
| Will Islam Makhachev fight Carlos Prates next? · No | 0.250 | 0.100 | $4.60 | −$6.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.115UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$2.8kat 0.656Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-01?
- +$2.4kat 0.260Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-26?
- +$1.9kat 0.794Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18?
- +$1.5kat 0.332Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:43 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.52 | $719.14 |
| 10-01 17:57 | Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 13:40 | Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0256384041 | $76.84 |
| 09-29 03:02 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4699999998 | $650.00 |
| 09-29 02:03 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0414175755 | $84.00 |
| 09-29 02:03 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0398931933 | $80.00 |
| 09-29 01:55 | Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $877.88 |
| 09-29 01:35 | Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0371635432 | $111.38 |
| 09-29 01:34 | Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.5979 | $119.58 |
| 09-29 01:13 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0178660936 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 01:13 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0348688407 | $10.65 |
| 09-29 01:08 | Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.6488922482 | $700.00 |
| 09-28 21:11 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0381452174 | $70.00 |
| 09-28 21:10 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0321359041 | $75.00 |
| 09-28 21:10 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0341043012 | $105.00 |