PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Laf77

0x8cfd5069c61048aded54cba9b7102c57d57395c4

Realised P&L
$-21.3k
Volume
$1.17M
Markets traded
262
Open portfolio
$824.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded262
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.2430.565$696.12+$396.12
Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.200$76.92−$23.08
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.2300.215$46.74−$3.26
Will Islam Makhachev fight Carlos Prates next? · No0.2500.100$4.60−$6.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 18:43Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.52$719.14
10-01 17:57Will Denmark vs. Portugal end in a draw?BUY0.2599999997$100.00
09-29 13:40Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?SELL0.0256384041$76.84
09-29 03:02Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4699999998$650.00
09-29 02:03Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0414175755$84.00
09-29 02:03Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0398931933$80.00
09-29 01:55Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.999$877.88
09-29 01:35Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?BUY0.0371635432$111.38
09-29 01:34Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.5979$119.58
09-29 01:13Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0178660936$2.00
09-29 01:13Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0348688407$10.65
09-29 01:08Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.6488922482$700.00
09-28 21:11Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0381452174$70.00
09-28 21:10Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0321359041$75.00
09-28 21:10Will China PR win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.0341043012$105.00