PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

btc313

0x8ce7665d72243694d2080f443fd65128ca2422b0

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$78.2k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration96.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5280.487$277.15$22.85
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0990.090$181.33$18.67
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6670.945$141.75+$41.75
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0310.035$114.52+$14.52
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6330.695$109.81+$9.81
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.4220.340$80.54$19.46
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.040$49.38$0.63
New pandemic before 2028? · Yes0.1800.175$48.47$1.53
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.1520.130$42.62$7.38
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.3300.150$37.50$45.00
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.001$10.00$49.99
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? · No0.7000.000$0.00$500.00
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$50.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? · Yes0.3090.000$0.00$50.00
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 19:14New pandemic before 2028?BUY0.1805136441$50.00
08-20 19:10Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
08-20 19:09Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.1525262154$50.00
08-20 19:06Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.04$50.00
08-20 19:05Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0029999999$50.00
08-20 19:04Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.1179449446$265.69
08-20 18:18Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0029999997$10.00
08-20 18:18Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.527691019$300.00
08-20 18:17Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?BUY0.3093812337$50.00
08-20 18:17Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?BUY0.6995490961$500.00
08-20 18:16Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?BUY0.412633388$150.00
08-20 18:15Government shutdown by October 1?SELL0.85$220.13
08-20 18:14Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.4486196109$541.20
08-12 18:14Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0170465738$200.00
08-12 09:00Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?BUY0.0276116735$50.00