PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

agreebera

0x8ccf3f4e55818a20b5172422303deedb6308a7a3

Realised P&L
$-88.97
Volume
$97.9k
Markets traded
324
Open portfolio
$514.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded324
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9790.997$199.30+$3.50
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? · No0.9730.988$98.75+$1.45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9400.945$94.50+$0.50
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.915$67.58+$3.32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9100.990$54.40+$4.40
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 17? · No0.9980.000$0.00$165.57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$4.90
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17? · No0.9950.000$0.00$60.07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 03:41Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.94$94.00
09-08 10:29Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?BUY0.973$97.30
08-25 12:50Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 6°C on August 25?BUY0.99$4.95
08-25 12:50Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on August 25?BUY0.9896086718$126.44
08-25 12:44Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C on August 25?BUY0.99$130.28
08-25 12:38Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 26?BUY0.999$930.68
08-25 12:37Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 26?BUY0.999$106.86
08-25 12:37Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 26?BUY0.997$159.52
08-06 12:50Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.979$195.80
08-04 07:36Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.975$19.50
08-04 07:35Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.998$99.80
07-30 04:01Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?BUY0.999$1.3k
07-21 07:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.987$54.28
07-21 07:30Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.94$15.96
07-21 03:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 21?BUY0.992$436.42