PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8cc1d32432a34cedbd2e1f3f849c326feb793ee7

0x8cc1d32432a34cedbd2e1f3f849c326feb793ee7

Realised P&L
$37.17
Volume
$979.98
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$355.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9600.964$154.07+$0.64
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? · No0.7500.720$98.22$4.09
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7520.910$57.56+$9.99
Will Fiorentina qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.2650.501$45.32+$21.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 14:43Will Fiorentina qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.2653264366$24.00
09-06 11:27Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7520948617$47.57
09-06 07:18GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?BUY0.75$102.31
09-05 06:18Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$153.43
09-01 20:44Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8569999966$121.53
07-27 12:35Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8172157161$99.50
07-27 12:34Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3380414684$34.52
07-27 12:34Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7899999945$129.84