PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

YOLO-FOMO

0x8ca1567a37c606fc560f50fde6ae35c309d5f2eb

Realised P&L
$-510.81
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$108.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.115$77.05$23.45
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0520.022$8.58$11.42
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$8.13$11.88
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.045$5.63$14.38
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0300.006$4.33$15.67
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0100.002$3.08$16.92
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.027$1.63$6.82
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.041$0.41$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-29 11:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?BUY0.06499998$3.00
05-29 11:01Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 29?BUY0.32$30.00
05-29 11:01Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?BUY0.5$20.00
05-29 11:00Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?BUY0.5$20.00
05-29 10:57Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 29?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
05-29 10:56Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.51$98.07
05-29 07:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?BUY0.0787349911$15.00
05-29 07:21Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29?BUY0.32$30.00
05-25 17:56Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
05-25 17:53Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
05-25 17:53Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?BUY0.025$5.00
01-31 10:11Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?BUY0.1395472864$20.00
01-31 10:09Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5199999983$100.00
01-31 10:07Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0524554238$20.00
01-31 10:07Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0299999986$20.00