PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8c948f18b27Df91842be760eA4FF4EEe2d462e06-1777300930340

0x8c948f18b27df91842be760ea4ff4eee2d462e06

Realised P&L
$668.89
Volume
$143.0k
Markets traded
565
Open portfolio
$985.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded565
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 13:47US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8$134.62
10-11 19:54Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.815$16.30
10-11 19:54Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.815$16.30
10-11 19:53Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8$63.70
10-11 19:11US imports Russian diesel by October 31?SELL0.42$11.82
10-11 18:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.078$5.54
10-11 14:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?BUY0.5788408408$48.19
10-11 14:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$2.91
10-11 14:11ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?BUY0.23$4.60
10-11 13:28Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?SELL0.49$4.90
10-09 17:40Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.05$3.97
10-09 00:21Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.358$4.42
10-08 23:56Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.546$3.07
10-08 23:51Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.449$4.49
10-08 16:26Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?SELL0.07$3.68