0x8c948f18b27Df91842be760eA4FF4EEe2d462e06-1777300930340
0x8c948f18b27df91842be760ea4ff4eee2d462e06
- Realised P&L
- $668.89
- Volume
- $143.0k
- Markets traded
- 565
- Open portfolio
- $985.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded565
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.47at 0.849Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$74.50at 0.070Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$73.41at 0.925Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
- +$48.65at 0.994Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
- +$45.96at 0.966Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 13:47 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $134.62 |
| 10-11 19:54 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.815 | $16.30 |
| 10-11 19:54 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.815 | $16.30 |
| 10-11 19:53 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $63.70 |
| 10-11 19:11 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $11.82 |
| 10-11 18:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.078 | $5.54 |
| 10-11 14:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5788408408 | $48.19 |
| 10-11 14:18 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.91 |
| 10-11 14:11 | ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 10-11 13:28 | Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-09 17:40 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.97 |
| 10-09 00:21 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.358 | $4.42 |
| 10-08 23:56 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.546 | $3.07 |
| 10-08 23:51 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.449 | $4.49 |
| 10-08 16:26 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.68 |