PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8C7A95Ae25949C11210d42D6bE33580C5F682a74-1768520373297

0x8c7a95ae25949c11210d42d6be33580c5f682a74

Realised P&L
$-244.59
Volume
$18.1k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$221.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3030.519$77.92+$32.42
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1890.145$76.85$23.15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$55.00$45.00
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes0.2400.080$6.66$13.34
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.2100.315$3.06+$1.02
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · Yes0.1100.040$1.80$3.20
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$11.10
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in March 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.30
Will MrBeast hit 110 billion views by January 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$5.00
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.0600.000$0.00$10.20
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No0.3470.000$0.00$30.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00$10.90
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 21:02Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.189999988$10.00
06-15 21:02Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$100.00
06-14 18:56Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
06-14 09:20Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2699999896$15.00
06-14 09:18Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.21$2.04
06-14 09:17Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.317$31.70
06-11 14:13Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.109$10.90
06-11 14:12Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.276$9.94
06-07 13:17SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?SELL0.912$10.85
06-07 13:17Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.5729307692$14.90
02-01 23:42Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?BUY0.1899999721$4.76
02-01 23:40Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?SELL0.055$4.58
02-01 19:56Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.08$9.00
02-01 19:55Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?SELL0.025$0.44
01-30 19:20Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?SELL0.0873007$8.73