0x8C7A95Ae25949C11210d42D6bE33580C5F682a74-1768520373297
0x8c7a95ae25949c11210d42d6be33580c5f682a74
- Realised P&L
- $-244.59
- Volume
- $18.1k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $221.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.49at 0.046Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
- +$27.00at 0.400Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
- +$18.61at 0.140Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$11.30at 0.320U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
- +$9.90at 0.192Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 21:02 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 21:02 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 06-14 18:56 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 09:20 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $15.00 |
| 06-14 09:18 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.04 |
| 06-14 09:17 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.317 | $31.70 |
| 06-11 14:13 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.109 | $10.90 |
| 06-11 14:12 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.276 | $9.94 |
| 06-07 13:17 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | SELL | 0.912 | $10.85 |
| 06-07 13:17 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.5729307692 | $14.90 |
| 02-01 23:42 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February? | BUY | 0.1899999721 | $4.76 |
| 02-01 23:40 | Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.055 | $4.58 |
| 02-01 19:56 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.08 | $9.00 |
| 02-01 19:55 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.44 |
| 01-30 19:20 | Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace? | SELL | 0.0873007 | $8.73 |