duckduckman
0x8c771a986a0030b1b7802d413eb187082c395251
- Realised P&L
- $19.84
- Volume
- $17.4k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $45.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$257.05at 0.763Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$70.93at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$29.49at 0.694Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$26.10at 0.586Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$12.35at 0.731Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 05:08 | Will Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 20:56 | Will Leavitt say "Threat" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.75 | $8.33 |
| 03-13 19:50 | Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.8615216575 | $7.18 |
| 03-12 00:52 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 10+ times during Women's History Month event? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.38 |
| 03-11 13:08 | Will Trump say "Oil" during Kentucky visit? | BUY | 0.9107070538 | $4.90 |
| 03-10 21:25 | Will Trump post "President DJT" on Truth Social this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.9299999347 | $4.56 |
| 03-10 18:14 | Will Leavitt say "Terrorism" or "Terror" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.42 |
| 03-10 18:09 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 03-10 18:03 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.392 | $1.04 |
| 03-10 00:16 | Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.54 |
| 03-09 20:19 | Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m? | BUY | 0.0097009967 | $2.92 |
| 03-08 21:46 | Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m? | BUY | 0.454656392 | $107.64 |
| 03-08 21:28 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3759998316 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 21:24 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.1890001786 | $1.00 |
| 03-08 21:20 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | SELL | 0.0015152997 | $0.51 |