PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

duckduckman

0x8c771a986a0030b1b7802d413eb187082c395251

Realised P&L
$19.84
Volume
$17.4k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$45.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · Yes0.5301.000$18.87+$8.87
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0270.048$8.80+$3.80
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0060.004$3.80$1.20
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$3.75$1.25
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0690.045$3.29$1.71
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0200.011$2.91$2.09
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0180.009$2.50$2.50
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1170.018$1.42$7.58
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Hillary say "FBI" during her Epstein testimony? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Hillary say "Donor" during her Epstein testimony? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Down0.4410.000$0.00$1.28
US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-07 05:08Will Trump post "Ass" or "Shit" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.429999828$1.00
03-18 20:56Will Leavitt say "Threat" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.75$8.33
03-13 19:50Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?BUY0.8615216575$7.18
03-12 00:52Will Trump say "Beautiful" 10+ times during Women's History Month event?BUY0.75$5.38
03-11 13:08Will Trump say "Oil" during Kentucky visit?BUY0.9107070538$4.90
03-10 21:25Will Trump post "President DJT" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)BUY0.9299999347$4.56
03-10 18:14Will Leavitt say "Terrorism" or "Terror" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.97$4.42
03-10 18:09Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?SELL0.2$1.60
03-10 18:03Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.392$1.04
03-10 00:16Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?SELL0.001$0.54
03-09 20:19Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?BUY0.0097009967$2.92
03-08 21:46Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?BUY0.454656392$107.64
03-08 21:28Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.3759998316$1.00
03-08 21:24Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.1890001786$1.00
03-08 21:20Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?SELL0.0015152997$0.51