0x8C69e990ea6Ae6a482Ec2983B21C6Fe35f384D4a-1767625335933
0x8c69e990ea6ae6a482ec2983b21c6fe35f384d4a
- Realised P&L
- $-230.68
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $5.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.033 | $3.28 | −$9.22 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.033 | $2.71 | −$4.79 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.78 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will the US strike Colombia next? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-15.00at 0.017Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 12:44 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.0929142529 | $30.00 |
| 05-21 15:45 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? | BUY | 0.223540004 | $53.78 |
| 03-16 19:15 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.0869999847 | $5.00 |
| 03-16 19:15 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 15:21 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.0997280145 | $11.00 |
| 03-13 15:21 | US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.10 |
| 01-13 16:58 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 01-10 20:17 | Will the US strike Colombia next? | BUY | 0.0042653745 | $1.00 |
| 01-10 20:16 | Will the US strike Colombia next? | BUY | 0.0041958981 | $4.00 |
| 01-10 19:13 | US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 01-09 16:05 | US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 01-09 16:05 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999949 | $15.00 |
| 01-09 16:02 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0173698923 | $15.00 |
| 01-05 15:44 | José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 01-05 15:43 | US strike on Cuba by January 31? | BUY | 0.0378401049 | $20.00 |