PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8C69e990ea6Ae6a482Ec2983B21C6Fe35f384D4a-1767625335933

0x8c69e990ea6ae6a482ec2983b21c6fe35f384d4a

Realised P&L
$-230.68
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$5.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.1240.033$3.28$9.22
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0900.033$2.71$4.79
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$24.00
US strike on Cuba by January 31? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$20.00
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00$83.78
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$12.00
Will the US strike Colombia next? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.00
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$37.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$16.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 12:44Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?BUY0.0929142529$30.00
05-21 15:45Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?BUY0.223540004$53.78
03-16 19:15Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?BUY0.0869999847$5.00
03-16 19:15Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?SELL0.06$5.00
03-13 15:21Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?BUY0.0997280145$11.00
03-13 15:21US takes Panama Canal before 2027?SELL0.11$11.10
01-13 16:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.24$24.00
01-10 20:17Will the US strike Colombia next?BUY0.0042653745$1.00
01-10 20:16Will the US strike Colombia next?BUY0.0041958981$4.00
01-10 19:13US takes Panama Canal before 2027?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
01-09 16:05US takes Panama Canal before 2027?BUY0.12$15.00
01-09 16:05Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.0899999949$15.00
01-09 16:02Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?BUY0.0173698923$15.00
01-05 15:44José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?BUY0.15$12.00
01-05 15:43US strike on Cuba by January 31?BUY0.0378401049$20.00