hurtingbombz
0x8c57ef73d51af17a5c8da3d7bab7f0aacc77eb35
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $84.1k
- Markets traded
- 855
- Open portfolio
- $102.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded855
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$391.16at 0.593Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March?
- +$197.60at 0.709Will XRP dip to $1.50 in April?
- +$169.19at 0.537Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
- +$143.70at 0.673Will XRP dip to $1.90 in May?
- +$107.10at 0.708Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $2.20 |
| 09-17 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 18:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 17:37 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on September 17? | SELL | 0.6 | $9.23 |
| 09-17 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $3.57 |
| 09-17 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 11:35 | Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.7164179072 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 11:33 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31? | BUY | 0.3899999971 | $12.00 |
| 09-17 11:33 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 11:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $3.84 |
| 09-17 11:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $9.06 |
| 09-17 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |