Hallo123
0x8c45de45f785345fce59def940aae92d7e8c9c1d
- Realised P&L
- $-236.28
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $244.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.85at 0.440Will Croatia win Eurovision 2024?
- +$49.00at 0.510Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
- +$42.84at 0.610Bitcoin above $70,000 on April 12?
- +$37.55at 0.397Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$32.84at 0.452Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:34 | Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest | BUY | 0.0899999991 | $7.66 |
| 09-18 23:34 | Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 22:42 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 06-24 18:45 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.3899999959 | $50.00 |
| 06-17 18:26 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 01-21 07:20 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.74 | $56.50 |
| 07-13 17:08 | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.9306496038 | $53.12 |
| 07-13 17:07 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.85 | $53.12 |
| 05-30 12:34 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.88 | $54.99 |
| 10-28 10:59 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3339999973 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 08:22 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3559999903 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 15:21 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3789999922 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 09:06 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4339999938 | $38.45 |
| 10-11 09:06 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.566 | $38.45 |
| 10-11 09:04 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5669999951 | $38.52 |