PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8c3BED2B8677ED0bFb885E36Ca4d0dc279CF66b2-1778507479509

0x8c3bed2b8677ed0bfb885e36ca4d0dc279cf66b2

Realised P&L
$-84.10
Volume
$857.16
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$27.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6700.620$16.66$1.34
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes0.6600.355$5.33$4.58
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.2910.180$3.09$1.91
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6000.605$1.51+$0.01
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.2500.174$0.70$0.30
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0660.039$0.59$0.41
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1700.004$0.02$0.98
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.44
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00$1.00
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$2.00
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Chicago Cubs0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 06:52Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETBUY0.5$3.00
08-28 06:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETBUY0.4899999804$5.00
08-26 21:01US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?BUY0.6699999914$18.00
08-26 20:59US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie HavlickovaBUY0.5899999705$5.00
08-26 20:57Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.2909999686$5.00
08-26 20:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6699998727$5.00
08-26 20:49Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.5$5.00
08-26 14:49Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-26 14:33Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?BUY0.2634146214$10.00
07-08 10:20Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5799999758$1.44
07-08 10:19Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
06-28 12:10Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0189999908$2.00
06-26 10:56Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.2599998648$1.00
06-26 10:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1519998796$1.00
06-26 10:52Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1899998784$1.00