0x8c3BED2B8677ED0bFb885E36Ca4d0dc279CF66b2-1778507479509
0x8c3bed2b8677ed0bfb885e36ca4d0dc279cf66b2
- Realised P&L
- $-84.10
- Volume
- $857.16
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $27.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.37at 0.602US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova
- +$2.79at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$1.66at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$1.06at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$1.00at 0.600US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 06:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 21:01 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6699999914 | $18.00 |
| 08-26 20:59 | US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 20:57 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.2909999686 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 20:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699998727 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 20:49 | Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 14:49 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 14:33 | Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long? | BUY | 0.2634146214 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 10:20 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999758 | $1.44 |
| 07-08 10:19 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 12:10 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999908 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 10:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1519998796 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 10:52 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |