rustin123
0x8c211db67d146cddfca94ccf2cd614483d3eadaf
- Realised P&L
- $239.99
- Volume
- $440.3k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $775.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.059Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
- +$624.84at 0.277Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$552.14at 0.247Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$468.89at 0.045Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$400.00at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:35 | Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.92 |
| 08-26 14:01 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.0376650768 | $113.16 |
| 08-24 06:35 | Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.085 | $17.00 |
| 07-18 02:47 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m? | BUY | 0.0334644914 | $10.75 |
| 07-17 16:05 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m? | BUY | 0.0096396396 | $0.80 |
| 06-30 05:40 | Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.001 | $7.74 |
| 06-29 14:22 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.09 |
| 06-25 18:30 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.22 |
| 06-20 18:43 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $90.00 |
| 06-12 09:32 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY | 0.2 | $156.60 |
| 06-01 14:06 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 06-01 13:02 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 05-27 14:12 | Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | BUY | 0.141 | $12.79 |
| 05-27 04:33 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $30.01 |
| 05-24 11:55 | Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.69 |