Palace8709
0x8c1026f774fe33016fb36d5f18f5e791d3e0d7b3
- Realised P&L
- $-7.1k
- Volume
- $1.64M
- Markets traded
- 2,154
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,154
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.351Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.609Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
- +$1.4kat 0.940Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
- +$930.49at 0.713Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$825.33at 0.695Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:47 | Will Olivia McMillan / Chloe Igleski advance to the Final in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.97 | $146.47 |
| 09-17 17:13 | Will Jonathan Truong / Max Freeman advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-17 17:02 | Will Brooke Buckner / Kaitlyn Christian advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-17 16:38 | Will Tyler Loong / John Lucian Goins advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 09-17 16:04 | Will Victoria DiMuzio / Layne Sleeth advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.9282564355 | $453.28 |
| 09-17 16:03 | Will Angie Walker / Alex Walker advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.9872598986 | $72.06 |
| 09-17 16:03 | Will Angie Walker / Alex Walker advance to the Semifinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.90 |
| 09-16 23:33 | Will Lucas Pascoe advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.94 |
| 09-16 23:33 | Will Max Freeman advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.94 |
| 09-16 23:33 | Will Tyson McGuffin advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.999 | $56.34 |
| 09-16 23:33 | Will Michael Loyd advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.94 |
| 09-16 23:33 | Will Tyson McGuffin advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.9987113482 | $89.85 |
| 09-16 23:32 | Will Max Freeman advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.999 | $86.53 |
| 09-16 23:32 | Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.9986923077 | $64.92 |
| 09-16 23:31 | Will Alex Walker advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |