Golmand
0x8c0fb7eb16c992b25a50f442b79fb79296555558
- Realised P&L
- $-1.17
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $105.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in September? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $54.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.910 | 0.936 | $20.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.917 | 0.818 | $17.83 | −$2.17 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · No | 0.981 | 0.690 | $7.03 | −$2.97 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.191 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$4.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.13at 0.310UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad
- +$2.45at 0.710Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?
- +$1.24at 0.890Ripple above $0.87 on November 22?
- +$1.20at 0.714Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
- +$1.18at 0.977Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.191 | $0.96 |
| 09-20 15:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 15:15 | Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $403.59 |
| 09-16 12:18 | Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $404.00 |
| 09-16 12:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $55.00 |
| 09-16 12:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9949999969 | $101.00 |
| 09-16 12:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 11:51 | Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.4k |
| 07-27 11:51 | Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.4k |
| 05-14 09:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14? | BUY | 0.9609997223 | $3.00 |
| 05-10 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 12? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 21:00 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9169999963 | $20.00 |
| 05-10 21:00 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9099999909 | $20.00 |