PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Golmand

0x8c0fb7eb16c992b25a50f442b79fb79296555558

Realised P&L
$-1.17
Volume
$19.4k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$105.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in September? · No0.9970.995$54.89$0.11
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9100.936$20.58+$0.58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9170.818$17.83$2.17
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · No0.9810.690$7.03$2.97
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.1911.000$5.00+$4.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 15:17Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.191$0.96
09-20 15:17Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-20 15:15Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.998$403.59
09-16 12:18Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.999$404.00
09-16 12:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in September?BUY0.997$55.00
09-16 12:17Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16?BUY0.9949999969$101.00
09-16 12:16Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 16?BUY0.996$100.00
07-27 11:51Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.998$4.4k
07-27 11:51Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.999$4.4k
05-14 09:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?BUY0.9609997223$3.00
05-10 21:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
05-10 21:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 12?BUY0.66$1.00
05-10 21:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
05-10 21:00Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9169999963$20.00
05-10 21:00Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9099999909$20.00