PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Artets

0x8bfe1a051ca40ec2e0ba5b842e2818496cf7c44d

Realised P&L
$3.1k
Volume
$380.5k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$19.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5120.870$13.8k+$5.7k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? · No0.7700.765$5.2k−$33.72
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? · Yes0.5730.635$827.42+$80.16
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025? · No0.1640.000$0.00−$149.45
Will Vance visit Greenland before July? · No0.0360.000$0.00−$98.91
Will France win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$643.13
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$133.50
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$2.5k
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? · No0.4100.000$0.00−$198.96
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$140.00
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.3540.000$0.00−$2.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:27Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?BUY0.7699999999$2.2k
10-30 21:19Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?BUY0.77$3.0k
10-30 01:01Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?BUY0.5734832832$747.26
05-17 18:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5298320281$3.5k
05-17 18:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4989036745$4.6k
05-16 22:40Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6134463677$5.6k
05-16 22:38Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.001$14.88
05-16 22:38Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.0011756001$0.92
05-16 22:38Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.0307096163$47.96
05-16 22:37Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.4423344855$166.36
05-16 22:37Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.0984304951$1.5k
05-16 22:36Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.1688833165$1.9k
05-16 22:36Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.1295532841$2.4k
05-16 07:04Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0549999923$6.52
05-15 04:48Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0512921669$40.00