Artets
0x8bfe1a051ca40ec2e0ba5b842e2818496cf7c44d
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $380.5k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $19.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.512 | 0.870 | $13.8k | +$5.7k |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.770 | 0.765 | $5.2k | −$33.72 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.635 | $827.42 | +$80.16 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2025? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025? · No | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.45 |
| Will Vance visit Greenland before July? · No | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.91 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2025? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$643.13 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$133.50 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$198.96 |
| Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.268Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
- +$3.9kat 0.599Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.770Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$1.9kat 0.840Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.800Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:27 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $2.2k |
| 10-30 21:19 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.0k |
| 10-30 01:01 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? | BUY | 0.5734832832 | $747.26 |
| 05-17 18:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5298320281 | $3.5k |
| 05-17 18:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4989036745 | $4.6k |
| 05-16 22:40 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.6134463677 | $5.6k |
| 05-16 22:38 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $14.88 |
| 05-16 22:38 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.0011756001 | $0.92 |
| 05-16 22:38 | Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.0307096163 | $47.96 |
| 05-16 22:37 | Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.4423344855 | $166.36 |
| 05-16 22:37 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.0984304951 | $1.5k |
| 05-16 22:36 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.1688833165 | $1.9k |
| 05-16 22:36 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.1295532841 | $2.4k |
| 05-16 07:04 | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0549999923 | $6.52 |
| 05-15 04:48 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0512921669 | $40.00 |