PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8bf892ccd9d3aedde966bb988ea6f0a7de16b49b

0x8bf892ccd9d3aedde966bb988ea6f0a7de16b49b

Realised P&L
$1.05
Volume
$0.00
Markets traded
0
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded0
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.070$1.3k−$575.61
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No0.3230.225$1.1k−$498.80
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.3800.033$195.29−$2.1k
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.4100.045$176.67−$1.4k
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1600.004$56.93−$2.5k
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9751.000$20.51+$0.51
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9741.000$20.51+$0.53
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9681.000$20.51+$0.65
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1010.098$8.95−$0.27
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.1210.001$8.68−$2.1k
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.5800.955$4.78+$1.88
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.065$0.61−$4.66