PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AvidMound2949

0x8bf6ecb9cf49f55a682cda18b24e5ea6bea66c2f

Realised P&L
$-650.32
Volume
$43.0k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0920.095$2.4k+$78.45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0730.050$474.85$216.32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0500.034$131.00$62.73
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1620.038$74.29$241.78
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0810.007$9.20$90.80
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0440.002$1.72$48.28

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 13:29Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.161682209$316.07
08-19 13:28Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0437007963$50.00
08-19 13:27Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.08149634$100.00
07-18 14:03Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.0899999999$922.52
07-16 18:08Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.0599999936$8.41
07-16 18:04Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.0899999999$949.24
07-11 20:39Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.083385595$432.79
07-11 18:31Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?BUY0.0495425332$193.74
07-11 18:30Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?BUY0.0599999998$250.00
07-11 18:30Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.1168757182$500.00
07-11 17:59Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?SELL0.0389778154$4.15
07-11 17:58Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?BUY0.0469999914$5.00