PolyBot

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Traders

0x8be8a874f6f7e6924e552a79917a509af446f147

0x8be8a874f6f7e6924e552a79917a509af446f147

Realised P&L
$-12.19
Volume
$269.76
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$4.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? · No0.7801.000$2.56+$0.56
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No0.7300.942$1.29+$0.29
Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? · Yes0.7300.670$0.92−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:01Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-14 19:00Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-10 22:48Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-09 21:31Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-07 08:12Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-07 00:12Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-14 18:47Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.78$2.00
09-12 07:49Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-11 23:35Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$2.00
09-02 06:10Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.64$2.00
09-01 21:52Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
09-01 11:41Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
08-22 21:42Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.2229999349$2.00
08-22 11:48Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-22 02:41Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.479999952$2.00