PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TheDeadZone

0x8bca2597740ae577699e7e39cee1c4c7a6ece136

Realised P&L
$-426.42
Volume
$171.9k
Markets traded
3,486
Open portfolio
$10.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,486
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1? · Yes0.3710.475$5.07+$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 1? · Yes0.3100.245$2.45−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2? · Yes0.4200.385$1.93−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1? · Yes0.0390.032$0.81−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on October 1? · Yes0.1100.045$0.41−$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 1? · Yes0.0100.001$0.05−$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 24? · Yes0.4340.000$0.00−$3.64
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on August 19? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 2? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00−$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 2? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 16? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$1.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1?SELL0.55$0.81
09-05 19:28Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 5?SELL0.999$5.00
09-05 13:11Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 5?SELL0.98$4.90
09-05 13:06Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 5?SELL0.0519363296$0.55
09-05 12:50Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 5?SELL0.08$0.35
09-05 09:52Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 5?SELL0.42$2.87
09-04 21:19Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 4?SELL0.999$5.00
09-04 18:19Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 4?SELL0.999$5.00
09-04 18:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 4?SELL0.999$5.00
09-04 18:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 4?SELL0.999$5.00
09-04 18:19Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 4?SELL0.999$5.00
09-04 18:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 4?SELL0.999$9.66
09-03 07:43Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 3?SELL0.12$1.00
09-03 05:17Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 3?SELL0.15$1.07
09-02 16:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 2?SELL0.98$4.89