PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Fakehomelander

0x8bc2ad71e817721a6946dbcaaa1595cf59567ed7

Realised P&L
$1.52
Volume
$293.9k
Markets traded
606
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded606
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4200.515$306.55+$56.55
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs · BetBoom Team0.5300.635$299.53+$49.53
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5070.510$251.68+$1.68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group · Hanwha Life Esports0.5300.515$242.92$7.08
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group · Dplus KIA Challengers0.6130.997$242.90+$93.51
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.4000.485$242.50+$42.50
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1600.145$226.56$23.44
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.4400.455$206.94+$6.94
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes0.6230.635$203.79+$3.79
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6300.625$198.41$1.59
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? · Yes0.4090.398$145.60$4.40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3690.460$124.53+$24.53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3930.261$99.43$50.57
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0910.065$70.82$29.18
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2900.395$68.10+$18.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 06:49LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupBUY0.6128717949$149.39
08-05 06:48Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.6299999997$200.00
08-05 06:48Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.4$200.00
08-05 06:47Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.4397451429$200.00
08-05 06:47Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.6231953272$200.00
08-05 06:47Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?BUY0.4095071436$150.00
08-05 06:46LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupBUY0.5299999992$250.00
08-05 06:46Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsBUY0.5299999992$250.00
08-05 06:45Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.05$25.69
08-03 08:18National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia RuzicBUY0.73$100.00
08-03 08:17Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0910789324$100.00
08-03 08:17Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.4743742371$150.00
08-03 08:16Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.507$250.00
08-03 08:15Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.16$250.00
08-03 08:14Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarBUY0.6199999999$100.00