PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fakehomelander

0x8bc2ad71e817721a6946dbcaaa1595cf59567ed7

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$301.7k
Markets traded
616
Open portfolio
$455.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded616
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5070.411$202.66−$47.34
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1600.075$117.19−$132.81
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3690.356$96.61−$3.39
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2200.115$26.14−$23.86
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.2110.052$12.46−$37.54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3930.000$0.00−$150.00
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$100.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$250.00
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 08:47Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.303077999$100.00
08-23 08:44Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.5277382418$600.00
08-15 18:04UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.75$250.00
08-15 18:03LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonBUY0.6999999994$250.00
08-15 18:03Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio CobolliBUY0.5499999996$500.00
08-13 17:28Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BBUY0.7096959661$500.00
08-13 17:27LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group StageBUY0.5499999997$250.00
08-13 17:27Seattle Mariners vs. New York YankeesBUY0.5999999998$500.00
08-13 09:19LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupBUY0.4499999995$250.00
08-06 06:16LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupBUY0.5499999996$500.00
08-05 06:49LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupBUY0.6128717949$149.39
08-05 06:48Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.6299999997$200.00
08-05 06:48Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.4$200.00
08-05 06:47Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.4397451429$200.00
08-05 06:47Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.6231953272$200.00