Fakehomelander
0x8bc2ad71e817721a6946dbcaaa1595cf59567ed7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $301.7k
- Markets traded
- 616
- Open portfolio
- $455.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded616
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.507 | 0.411 | $202.66 | −$47.34 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.075 | $117.19 | −$132.81 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.369 | 0.356 | $96.61 | −$3.39 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.115 | $26.14 | −$23.86 |
| Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.052 | $12.46 | −$37.54 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.458Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$1.0kat 0.498Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$973.11at 0.521Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears
- +$895.39at 0.527BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton
- +$851.85at 0.540Avalanche vs. Oilers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 08:47 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.303077999 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 08:44 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.5277382418 | $600.00 |
| 08-15 18:04 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.75 | $250.00 |
| 08-15 18:03 | LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | BUY | 0.6999999994 | $250.00 |
| 08-15 18:03 | Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-13 17:28 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B | BUY | 0.7096959661 | $500.00 |
| 08-13 17:27 | LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS (BO3) - LPLOL Group Stage | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $250.00 |
| 08-13 17:27 | Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5999999998 | $500.00 |
| 08-13 09:19 | LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group | BUY | 0.4499999995 | $250.00 |
| 08-06 06:16 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.5499999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-05 06:49 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group | BUY | 0.6128717949 | $149.39 |
| 08-05 06:48 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999997 | $200.00 |
| 08-05 06:48 | Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 08-05 06:47 | Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.4397451429 | $200.00 |
| 08-05 06:47 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.6231953272 | $200.00 |