0x8b94b6944ba8d9d7a443872ed198306e913451c7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $141.6k
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $77.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$364.08at 0.480Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?
- +$295.12at 0.457Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$230.37at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$204.43at 0.195Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$203.48at 0.330Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 09:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $2.83 |
| 08-13 09:26 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0379999876 | $2.91 |
| 07-19 18:33 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1 | $18.95 |
| 07-19 18:32 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0309999984 | $18.87 |
| 07-19 18:32 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5499999992 | $292.32 |
| 07-19 18:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4139999998 | $483.19 |
| 07-19 18:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5499999774 | $9.74 |
| 07-19 17:24 | Lionel Messi: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.2799999719 | $4.79 |
| 07-19 17:19 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3499999563 | $4.81 |
| 07-16 18:33 | Michael Olise: 1+ assists | BUY | 0.3099999748 | $4.80 |
| 07-16 18:31 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0289999903 | $2.83 |
| 07-15 18:59 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999977 | $97.43 |
| 07-15 18:13 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $28.40 |
| 07-15 18:13 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.362499999 | $144.55 |
| 07-15 09:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1969999514 | $2.86 |