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Traders

0x8b94b6944ba8d9d7a443872ed198306e913451c7

Realised P&L
$-4.8k
Volume
$141.6k
Markets traded
294
Open portfolio
$77.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded294
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026? · No0.6540.925$13.91+$4.07
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes0.5761.000$13.70+$5.81
Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? · Yes0.5001.000$9.84+$4.92
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4101.000$8.37+$4.94
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.240$5.47+$1.37
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6101.000$4.85+$1.89
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.1110.024$4.14$15.03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7400.841$3.41+$0.41
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9811.000$3.05+$0.06
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9841.000$3.05+$0.05
Will Patrick Wilver be the Democratic Nominee for GA-01? · No0.9401.000$2.18+$0.13
Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6360.560$1.97$0.27
Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1970.066$1.64$3.24
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.4100.065$1.11$5.89
Will James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.1300.041$0.91$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 09:27Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.037$2.83
08-13 09:26Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0379999876$2.91
07-19 18:33Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$18.95
07-19 18:32Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0309999984$18.87
07-19 18:32Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5499999992$292.32
07-19 18:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4139999998$483.19
07-19 18:30Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5499999774$9.74
07-19 17:24Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsBUY0.2799999719$4.79
07-19 17:19Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.3499999563$4.81
07-16 18:33Michael Olise: 1+ assistsBUY0.3099999748$4.80
07-16 18:31Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0289999903$2.83
07-15 18:59England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5399999977$97.43
07-15 18:13Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.08$28.40
07-15 18:13Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.362499999$144.55
07-15 09:11Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1969999514$2.86
Trader 0x8b94…51c7 · PolyBot Pro