tomczykmarm
0x8b7d89a620bf2589740c132ba38f50191bbea994
- Realised P&L
- $-171.90
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $62.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.92at 0.054US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$19.44at 0.049Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
- +$16.09at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$15.50at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$15.00at 0.400US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 17:25 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.419 | $12.36 |
| 09-09 16:15 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.255120145 | $31.66 |
| 09-09 16:13 | Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.028597943 | $13.99 |
| 09-09 16:12 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.05 | $17.50 |
| 09-07 17:19 | Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 21:54 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0069999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 15:48 | Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.0153067108 | $4.99 |
| 09-05 21:26 | Will Zizou Bergs win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 21:25 | Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.028890472 | $6.49 |
| 09-05 17:34 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 17:31 | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0239999881 | $2.00 |
| 09-05 07:43 | Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 07:36 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 21:59 | Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0032876892 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 21:56 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |