chronos-nyx
0x8b7b49e3a7feebab7b8155eb4730bcd03cc75b48
- Realised P&L
- $27.61
- Volume
- $875.33
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $56.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.84at 0.770Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$11.82at 0.590Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
- +$0.02at 0.947Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
- +$-0.03at 0.985US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?
- +$-0.03at 0.984US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 23:06 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-15 22:28 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-15 22:28 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-15 22:28 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-15 22:28 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-15 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-15 21:29 | Tiburon: Bryce Nakashima vs Andre Ilagan | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 21:18 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.341 | $1.71 |
| 09-15 21:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-15 21:05 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 20:52 | Will Warsh say "Productivity" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 09-15 20:46 | Tiburon: Blaise Bicknell vs Trevor Svajda | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 20:36 | Reading FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |