0x8B6Ea144D98d0EcCF1587eA61F17f77b4df9b1a7-1722893952192
0x8b6ea144d98d0eccf1587ea61f17f77b4df9b1a7
- Realised P&L
- $-706.20
- Volume
- $78.0k
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $582.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.605 | $188.98 | +$88.98 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.720 | $169.34 | +$69.34 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.267 | $161.95 | +$61.95 |
| Packers vs. Buccaneers · Packers | 0.630 | 0.625 | $39.68 | −$0.32 |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 · Over | 0.653 | 0.500 | $22.95 | −$7.05 |
| Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5) · Arkansas Razorbacks | 0.492 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 0.901 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-5.5) · St. John's Red Storm | 0.522 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-3.5) · UCF Knights | 0.522 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. UT Martin Skyhawks · UT Martin Skyhawks | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary's Gaels · Gonzaga Bulldogs | 0.571 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls · Memphis Tigers | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Miami vs. Texas A&M · Texas A&M | 0.611 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 168.5 · Over | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$297.84at 0.510Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
- +$208.25at 0.167Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?
- +$198.02at 0.769Chargers vs. Broncos
- +$184.76at 0.520Bills vs. Broncos
- +$138.10at 0.420Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:09 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.629999995 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 14:20 | Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | BUY | 0.6534653452 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 02:55 | Falcons vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.7299999966 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 03:44 | Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5467196786 | $50.00 |
| 09-10 03:43 | Terrance Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5864811105 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 13:21 | Oklahoma vs. Michigan | BUY | 0.6799999937 | $30.00 |
| 09-03 23:33 | Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5688622711 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 23:33 | Spread: James Madison (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 03:16 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1648621045 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 00:05 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 14:51 | Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 20:28 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3201384534 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 20:28 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4251818376 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 17:02 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3499999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 04:11 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0515932857 | $50.00 |